Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 05:41 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 70.9%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet17. Jan. 26, 04:29 UTC20. Jan. 29, 11:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Trump gets impeached by January 20, 2029
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KalshiHow many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Trump receives an official state visit to the United Kingdom after September 19, 2025 and before January 20, 2029 (the end of his second term).
- An official state visit is defined as a formal diplomatic visit where Trump is hosted by the British monarch with full state ceremony, as recognized by the UK Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office or the Royal Household.
- Resolution can be verified through official announcements from the UK government, the White House, or the Royal Family's official channels.
- Trump completed a state visit to the UK from September 16-18, 2025, during his second presidency—his second state visit overall, with the first occurring in June 2019 during his first term.
- Historically, US presidents are typically invited for tea with the British monarch if they visit the UK for a second time while in office, and Trump's predecessors George W. Bush and Barack Obama only made a state visit once, receiving tea at Windsor Castle during the end of their second terms.
