Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 51%
Prognostiker
9
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binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet20. März 25, 06:05 UTC2. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Trump gets laid next by
Manifold MarketsTrump gets impeached by January 20, 2029
Manifold MarketsTrump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegeln
It must be publicly revealed that Kai Trump gets a boyfriend or significant other by Jan 8, 2027 00:00 GMT*
- Here is what would count as dating:
- •Both parties claim or confirm that they are/were
- OR one party claims they were, with significant corroboration by mutuals
- •At least 3 credible media sources confirm a romantic relationship with clear language
- ^Credible: rated “high” in factual reporting by https://mediabiasfactcheck.com/
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 693.010,4 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 266.941,4 €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 248.725,9 €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Kai Trump gets a Boyfriend (or SO) by 2027?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 51% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Kai Trump gets a Boyfriend (or SO) by 2027 entschieden?
- Kai Trump gets a Boyfriend (or SO) by 2027 soll am 2. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Kai Trump gets a Boyfriend (or SO) by 2027 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: It must be publicly revealed that Kai Trump gets a boyfriend or significant other by Jan 8, 2027 00:00 GMT*