Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 80%
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Veraltet20. Feb. 25, 20:59 UTC1. Jan. 30, 10:59 UTC
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Donald Trump attempts to withdraw from NATO
Manifold MarketsTrump attempts to use AGI to stay in power after his second term?
Manifold MarketsTrump attempts to reduce DARPA funding by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will control the House?
KalshiBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PolymarketTexas Governor winner?
KalshiRegeln
According to a YouGov poll 52% believe that Trump "definitely" or "probably" will attempt a 3rd term.
- Resolves YES if there is clear and unequivocal evidence that Trump:
- Runs for a 3rd presidential term
- Attempts to subvert the 22nd Amendment in any (serious) way (e.g. through executive orders, trying to change the constitution, legal challenge, or campaigning)
- Prevents a peaceful transition of power
- Tries in some serious way to stay in power past January 20, 2029