Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 23.10.2026, 09:54 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseOther 33.6%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
26
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet6. Apr. 24, 04:55 UTC1. Jan. 31, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any video game surpass Minecraft as the best-selling video game of all time by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Minecraft still be the best-selling video game by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2027?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?
Manifold MarketsVideo games released this year
KalshiVideo Games Ad Spend in October
KalshiRegeln
Resolves according to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_video_games.
- The three best-selling video games according to that source resolve to 33%.
- The rest resolves NO.
- If N games are tied for 3rd place, they each get resolved to 33%/N.
