Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt ist geschlossen und wartet auf eine bestätigte Auflösung.
Nicht verifizierte Auflösungsdaten
Dieses Ergebnis ist abgeleitet oder nicht durch anbietergestützte Auflösungsnachweise gedeckt.
Aktuelle Community-Prognose≥$1T 100%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
40
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 28 Tagen
Veraltet22. Apr. 26, 3:491. Juli 26, 3:59
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
≥$1T100%
≥$1.25T100%
≥$1.5T97.6%
≥$1.75T94%
≥$2T72.8%
≥$2.25T81.1%
≥$2.5T42.3%
≥$3T1%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· ≥$1T
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt72% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 100% | — | 12.341,4 € | 0 € | vor 27 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| Manifold MarketsDiese Seite | — | 100% | — | — | — | vor 28 Tagen |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?
0.7 ptsGeschlossen
+3.5pt100%
+65.3pt100%
+3.7pt100%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
19 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen2,7 Mio. €
24h-Volumen12.341,4 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2027
114,1 €≥$2T: 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?
87,8 €Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization": 78.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSOpenAI highest valuation by end of September 2026
38 €≥$0.6T: 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Anthropic IPO by __?
11.408,6 €December 31,: 69%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
6235,5 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 2%
KALSHI
KALSHI
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
5417,4 €Before Oct 1, 2026: 17%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).