Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 04:15 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 72.8%
Prognostiker
26
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet5. Feb. 24, 22:11 UTC2. Jan. 28, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Someone dies wearing Apple Vision Pro
Manifold MarketsWill people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsDivorce Scandal Caused By Apple Vision Pro
Manifold MarketsWill the Apple Vision Pro be worn in public in 2027?
Manifold MarketsApple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
PolymarketBTC price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves Yes if credible media reports comes out of a person crashing a car while wearing Apple Vision Pro.
- They must be wearing it at the time of the accident, and must be the one driving.
- Resolves No if this doesn't happen by 2028.