Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 83.1%
Prognostiker
81
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet6. Juni 23, 00:13 UTC1. Jan. 28, 02:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
[tweet]In a arbitrary weekday in 2027, me or a trusted person comissioned by myself, will talk a walk from the Central Park (Columbus Circus) through Broadway and the Times Square to the 34st Herald Square subway station.
- I'll be paying attention to the people in the streets.
- It is a 26min walking in the busyest city in the world.
- If I see at least two people wearing Apple-made AR/VR headsets (covering their eyes), I'll resolve this market to YES.
- If I don't see, I'll resolve to NO.
- I'll try to document, but it can be hard.