SOAI#6: “AI neutrality” emerges as a foreign policy doctrine as some nations cannot or fail to develop sovereign AI
KIOne-Off
Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No (93.9%)
Entschieden: 11.10.2026, 21:36
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
No
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
90%
KonsensWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 12.10.2026, 12:02 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes6.1%
No93.9%
Gewonnen
Verloren
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This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #6: “AI neutrality” emerges as a foreign policy doctrine as some nations cannot or fail to develop sovereign AI.
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.