Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
2.5 Pkt. (24h)One-OffUS-Zwischenwahlen 2026US-PolitikWahlPolitik2MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseKansas 27.3%+2.5ptFührend unter 15 Optionen
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+20.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet30. Okt. 26, 01:54 UTC3. Jan. 27, 13:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Ohio elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 4 Democratic Representatives?
Manifold MarketsWill Texas elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 14 Democratic Representatives?
Manifold MarketsBluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
KalshiWill a Democratic Senator say something positive about Trump's death within 24 hours of it happening?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democratic Senator say or post “glad he’s dead” within 24 hours of trumps death for ANY reason?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRegeln
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator/kxreddestdsen-27jan03
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If Texas is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
