KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Texas 34.9%+1.0ptFührend unter 16 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
54 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
49.563,5 €
Liquidität
48.656,3 €
Hohe LiquiditätMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
23. Sept. 26, 21:00 UTC3. Jan. 27, 13:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Texas elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 14 Democratic Representatives?
Manifold MarketsWill Ohio elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 4 Democratic Representatives?
Manifold MarketsBluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
KalshiWill a Democratic Senator say something positive about Trump's death within 24 hours of it happening?
Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegeln
If Mississippi is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Federal Election CommissionMississippi Secretary of StateLouisiana Secretary of StateMontana Secretary of StateSouth Carolina State Election CommissionKansas Secretary of StateTexas Secretary of StateIowa Secretary of StateAlaska Division of Electionsthe Florida Division of ElectionsOhio Secretary of StateNorth Carolina State Board of ElectionsGeorgia Secretary of StateMichigan Secretary of StateNew Hampshire Secretary of StateMinnesota Secretary of StateVirginia Department of Elections
- A state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results.
- The margin is negative where Harris won.
- A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party).
- Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.
- Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.6pt15%
+50 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mrd. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 787.394,1 €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.9%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 198,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 574.296 €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.3pt92%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 32,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 543.755 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-2.0pt60.6%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep+0.2pt8.1%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-3.0pt63%
- Susan Collins+3.0pt37%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 5,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 393.602,5 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- March 31+1.5pt80%
- December 31+2.5pt66%
- November 30+1.0pt49%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
- Texas Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Ohio Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Kansas Senate winner?
- Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet Texas mit 34.9% (Stand: 25. September 2026).
- Wann wird Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? entschieden?
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? soll am 3. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Mississippi is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.