Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
2027-01-08 (8-Jan-2027) 96.7%Führend unter 6 Optionen
2027-01-08 (8-Jan-2027) 96.7%Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet13. Juli 26, 17:34 UTC9. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Resolution criteria
- Each date option represents a specific calendar day in Eastern Time (ET).
- This is an independent multiple-choice market.
- YES: Donald Trump is alive for any portion of the specified calendar date, measured in Eastern Time (ET).
- NO: Donald Trump passed away before the start of the specified calendar date (00:00 ET), or has already been officially declared deceased prior to that date.
- Resolution Sources: Resolutions will be based on official announcements or reporting from reputable national and international news organizations, including: