Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
2026-02-12 (12-Feb-2026) 100%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
41
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet23. Dez. 24, 11:29 UTC17. Okt. 26, 17:00 UTC
Trends
100%
100%
100%
100%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
On which days in 2027+ will Donald Trump be alive?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be alive on 31 December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be alive through the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump attend UFC 331?
KalshiWill Donald Trump issue a public apology?
KalshiWho will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Each option will resolve a couple of days after the given date to be on the safe side.
Offene Märkte
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 693.010,4 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 266.941,4 €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 248.725,9 €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für On which days in 2026 will Donald Trump be alive??
- Manifold Markets bewertet 2026-02-12 (12-Feb-2026) mit 100% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird On which days in 2026 will Donald Trump be alive? entschieden?
- On which days in 2026 will Donald Trump be alive? soll am 17. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird On which days in 2026 will Donald Trump be alive? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Each option will resolve a couple of days after the given date to be on the safe side.