Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseAccident 81.6%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet7. Juli 26, 05:15 UTC1. Jan. 27, 06:13 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Oliver Tree is still alive
Manifold MarketsWhen will Diddy (Sean Combs) die, of any cause?
Manifold MarketsWill the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves according to the outcome of the investigation by Brazilian authorities.
- My son told me to make this market, and also to include this sentence.
Offene Märkte
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 347.566,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.350,6 €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6819,5 €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 498.593 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6136,1 €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Oliver Tree cause of death?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Accident mit 82% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Oliver Tree cause of death entschieden?
- Oliver Tree cause of death soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Oliver Tree cause of death abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves according to the outcome of the investigation by Brazilian authorities.