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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. ⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2026? (9 DONE)
Manifold Markets

⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2026? (9 DONE)

One-OffSociety & CultureTechnikPolitik6Mon
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
grok 5 releases 87.5%
Führend unter 40 Optionen
Prognostiker

28

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten

2. Jan. 26, 5:461. Jan. 27, 4:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

grok 5 releases88%

Regeln

The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO.

Manifold Markets
  • If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.

Verwandte Märkte

Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026?

1,1 Mio. €
160-179: 41%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?

811.772,5 €
140-159: 20%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Elon Musk # tweets June 13 - June 15, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets June 13 - June 15, 2026?

231.719,1 €
<40: 67%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will "Binging" replace "Googling" as a term for online search by 2030?

185,7 €
Ja: 3.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?

Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?

75,7 €
Barack Obama: 4.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?

0 €
Ja: 11.7%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$63,750.12-0.76%EthereumETH$1,660.33-1.25%SolanaSOL$67.34-1.38%DogecoinDOGE$0.0863-1.71%BNBBNB$604.12-0.70%XRPXRP$1.13-1.28%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Google's DiffusionGemma Boosts AI Text Generation on NVIDIA GPUsBlockchain.NewsAnthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsGoogle Unveils Gemini 3.5 and AI Upgrades at I/O 2026Blockchain.NewsNvidia may power Apple’s biggest Siri upgrade after years of delayCrypto NewsBig tech is 'terrified' of AI agents wiping out ad revenue, says Billions Network CEOCoindeskModern robots impress, but are years away from replacing humansCointelegraph

Regeln

The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO.

Manifold Markets
  • If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.