[Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?
ChinaOne-Off3JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 89.5%
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Aktualisiert vor 20 Stunden
Veraltet10. Juli 24, 22:57 UTC2. Jan. 30, 12:00 UTC
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Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21869/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves as Yes if, before January 1, 2030, the U.S. makes an official statement threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan, if Taiwan is attacked by an adversary.
- The question resolves as No otherwise.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für [Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 90% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird [Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan? entschieden?
- [Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan? soll am 2. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird [Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?