Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 92.6%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet8. Juli 26, 20:24 UTC31. Dez. 99, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Macron vs Owens: Who wins the defamation lawsuit?
MyriadMacron out by which date?
PolymarketBrigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?
KalshiWho will be the next president of France after Macron?
Manifold MarketsMacron leads EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsIf a Macron-backed candidate fails to be elected president in 2027, will a far-right candidate win?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Emmanuel Macron is officially sworn in as the President of the United States of America.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- For the purposes of this market:
- Identification: "Emmanuel Macron" refers to the French politician born on December 21, 1977, who has served as the President of the French Republic.
- Office: "President of the United States" is defined as the head of the executive branch of the federal government of the United States, as established under Article II of the Constitution of the United States.
Offene Märkte
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-5.5pt71%
- December 15,+4.0pt65%
- November 30,-5.5pt45%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 68.322,5 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T-0.4pt25.3%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt20%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.8%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWho will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- CATL-13.0pt34%
- Baidu-14.0pt34%
- Tencent32%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt91%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+3.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt85%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay?
- No+1.0pt93.1%
- Yes-1.0pt6.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 13.335,1 €
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- NuScale announces bankruptcy by which date?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- IPOs before 2027?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Macron president by 2100?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 93% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Macron president by 2100 entschieden?
- Macron president by 2100 soll am 31. Dezember 2099 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Macron president by 2100 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria