Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 65.7%
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4
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet2. Sept. 25, 14:50 UTC31. Dez. 39, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Kenya leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next president of France after Macron?
Manifold MarketsMacron vs Owens: Who wins the defamation lawsuit?
MyriadMacron out by which date?
PolymarketBrigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?
KalshiIf a Macron-backed candidate fails to be elected president in 2027, will a far-right candidate win?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves as YES if Emmanuel Macron becomes the leader of the European Union before January 1st 2040.
- Resolution criteria
- What “leader” means (any of these count)
- Head of state or head of government of the European Union or its successor polity (even if largely ceremonial), e.g., President, Prime Minister, Monarch/King/Emperor, Supreme/Paramount Leader, Regent, or military ruler (de facto or de jure).
- Top EU institutional chief whose role is commonly regarded as the EU’s primary political leadership, including President of the European Commission or President of the European Council (or any future office that replaces/combines them into the EU’s apex executive).
- Member of a collective top executive (e.g., co-presidency, triumvirate) where each member is officially a head of state/government of the EU/successor.
Offene Märkte
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 85.328,8 €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 184.920,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Yes+43.3pt94%
- No-43.3pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 21.212,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 20.302,3 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.0pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Macron leads EU before 2040??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 66% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Macron leads EU before 2040? entschieden?
- Macron leads EU before 2040? soll am 31. Dezember 2039 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Macron leads EU before 2040? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves as YES if Emmanuel Macron becomes the leader of the European Union before January 1st 2040.