Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose1B - 1.5B 24.6%+7.5ptFührend unter 12 Optionen
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+7.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet31. Juli 25, 18:13 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
Can be over some multi-year span.
- Only counts offers after market creation, that are reported by credible enough sources that it doesn't seem made up to the typical market participant.