Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 81.8%
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2
Fragetyp
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
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Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet12. Feb. 26, 16:23 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?
Manifold MarketsWill New York win their suit against Kalshi?
Manifold MarketsKalshi generally available to UK customers by when?
Manifold MarketsKalshi offers at least one sports prediction contract in January 2028
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Before January 1, 2028, will a CFTC-designated contract market (DCM) operate or officially announce a physical location in California where members of the public can trade event contracts in person?” — Resolves YES based on a press release, news report, or SEC/CFTC filing.
- Doesn’t need to literally be blackjack, just any physical “trading floor” open to the public.
- See https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-02-10/bond-trading-gets-cheaper