Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 91.5%
Prognostiker
22
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet31. Juli 26, 02:18 UTC1. Feb. 27, 03:17 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
KalshiMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
PolymarketWill Mitch McConnell speak this year?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell die in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term)
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell resign in 2026?
PredictItRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, by January 31, 2027 it is officially confirmed by Senator Mitch McConnell’s office, his family, his medical team, or a consensus of reputable major news organizations (such as the Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times, or CNN) that McConnell is medically brain-dead or on life support.
- This market will resolve to NO if:
- McConnell delivers a public, verbal address or appears in a live, unedited video proving conscious cognitive function, OR
- No official or credible confirmation of brain death or life support is made public by January 31, 2027, OR
- He is officially announced to have passed away without a preceding, publicly confirmed state of being brain-dead or kept on life support.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Is Mitch McConnell on life support and/or brain dead??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 92% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Is Mitch McConnell on life support and/or brain dead? entschieden?
- Is Mitch McConnell on life support and/or brain dead? soll am 1. Februar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Is Mitch McConnell on life support and/or brain dead? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria