Aktuelle Community-Prognose
2025-2030 98.6%Führend unter 10 Optionen
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Fragetyp
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
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Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet13. März 24, 04:13 UTC2. Jan. 60, 02:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a robot beat an Olympic table tennis gold medalist before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a humanoid robot beat a human tennis pro in a singles match
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWhich AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Market will resolve...
- YES if a robot with the characteristics given below defeats the current olympic champion at their sport within the detailed time intervals.
- NO if humans are still undefeated within the given time intervals.
- OTHER if an unexpected situation happens.
- The idea is for the robot to be physically similar to a human so the competition is fair.
- It must abide to the following limitations (which I'm open to changing, if given a good reason), as to make the competition fair.
