In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
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Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet3. Jan. 24, 03:12 UTC2. Jan. 28, 07:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
Manifold MarketsIn early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsIn early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsTime's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiTIME Person of the Year 2026
PolymarketRegeln
Similar to the main market, but the following are allowed:
- Giving the AI a full script as a prompt, written by either human, AI, or both.
- Any other inputs.
- Pictures, 3d renders of characters, video clips, even entire other movies, as long as the majority audio-visual output is not present in the input.
- Any editing of the movie after the AI creates it, as long as the movie is still predominantly AI generated.
- The quality criteria are the same.
Offene Märkte
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 319.774,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 98.048,5 €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.986 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 130.628,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.327 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4 Mio. €
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 51% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid? entschieden?
- In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid? soll am 2. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Similar to the main market, but the following are allowed: