In 2027, will Manifold poll show Minnesota shooting had greater immigration enforcement impact than Laken Riley?
US-PolitikOne-Off1JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 16:20 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
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At the end of 2026 I will make a poll (basically) identical to this: {https://manifold.markets/JeromeHPowell/which-incident-do-you-believe-will}
- The market will resolve to Yes, No, or 50%, 50% being in case of a tie.
- I am open to changes to this model of resolution, but if a lot of people trade before a change, I will keep it how it is most likely.
- I am very interested!
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