Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 97.1%
Prognostiker
55
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
30. Juli 24, 02:51 UTC6. Juli 28, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Tim Walz be the Presidential or Vice Presidential candidate for the Democrats in 2028?
Manifold MarketsTim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
KalshiWill Tim Walz resign by which date?
PolymarketTim Walz charged by which date?
PolymarketTim Walz in jail by which date?
PolymarketWill Tim Walz Finish his term as Governor of Minnesota?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves N/A if Harris wins the 2024 election (or if she’s not the nominee for some reason).
- [tweet]General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.