KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore 2027 13%+5.6%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
6781,2 €
Liquidität
794.694,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
11.0% / 12.0%
Spread
9.1%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
31. Dez. 25, 15:002. Jan. 27, 14:59
Trends
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before 202713%
Volumentrend
$7.7k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
1,3 Mio. €July 18: 100%
POLYMARKET
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2028 Democratic presidential nominee
735.912,2 €Kamala Harris: 12%KALSHI
KALSHI
Presidential Election Winner 2028
379.523,1 €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
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378.914,7 €Gadi Eizenkot: 52%POLYMARKET
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2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
272.652,8 €Kamala Harris: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
154.668 €Haley Stevens: 39%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Tim Walz leaves as Governor of Minnesota after Issuance and before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tim Walz must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.