Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose5+ 71.1%Führend unter 4 Optionen
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Veraltet12. Jan. 26, 01:25 UTC3. Jan. 27, 01:25 UTC
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How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?
KalshiWhich Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the UN’s Security Council permanent members leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill some members (1 or more) leave the EU (European Union) before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump pardon any of his cabinet members from his second term?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins in 2024, will any members of his Cabinet be former Trump administration Cabinet members?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Leaving means leaving cabinet altogether.
- If someone went from one position to another in the cabinet, they are still in the cabinet.
- leave means leave for any reason. resignation, firing, impeachment, death and anything else counts as leaving.
- if JD vance becomes president this counts as leaving the cabinet.
- must have officially left their role before end of 2026(washington dc time).
- Announcement isnt enough.
