KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
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Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
0 87.5%Führend unter 6 Optionen
0 87.5%Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Open Interest
61.892,8 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
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0Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
18. Jan. 26, 22:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · 0
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many US cabinet members will leave in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump state that he has fired Lisa Cook?
KalshiWill Elon musk, JD Vance, or more than 2 members of Trump administration follow https://x.com/cremieuxrecueil?s=09 by EO
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump pardon any of his cabinet members from his second term?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?
KalshiRegeln
If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 0 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement will be considered to be made by President Trump if it is announced on President Trump's personal or official social media accounts, made by President Trump in a video or audio format, a direct quote from President Trump in written reporting, or otherwise written or released directly from President Trump. The withdrawal of a request for resignation, or the reversal of a decision to fire, does not negate the initial request for resignation or decision to fire for the purposes of this Contract. For the purposes of this Contract, it does not matter if the Cabinet member does not actually resign, is removed, or otherwise leaves the position. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. An "acting" member of the Cabinet is not included.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- 0
- If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 0 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1
- If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 1 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2
- If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 2 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4
- If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 4 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3
- If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 3 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5
- If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 5 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
