Aktuelle Community-Prognose
1+ OpenAI employees resign 53.8%+3.8ptFührend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
48
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+3.8 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
10. Sept. 26, 08:16 UTC3. Okt. 26, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which of Anthropic and OpenAI will get more credit for the Navier-Stokes solution, in my judgement?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026
PolymarketWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
PolymarketAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the number of full-time employees of OpenAI or Anthropic who voluntarily resign, citing ethical reasons (including but not limited to risks of human extinction or disempowerment), or publicly announce that they will do so, during the month of September 2026, Pacific Time.
- Jacob Coxon counts as one such person for the purposes of this market.
- See his tweet about resigning from Anthropic, which went viral with 712K+ likes as of September 10.
- His resignation was covered in the Wall Street Journal.
- I'll wait for two extra days, in case any resignations happen during September but are only publicized later.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How many Anthropic/OpenAI employees will resign in September 2026 due to ethical concerns??
- Manifold Markets bewertet 1+ OpenAI employees resign mit 54% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird How many Anthropic/OpenAI employees will resign in September 2026 due to ethical concerns? entschieden?
- How many Anthropic/OpenAI employees will resign in September 2026 due to ethical concerns? soll am 3. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How many Anthropic/OpenAI employees will resign in September 2026 due to ethical concerns? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria