Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Flight 14 (93.6%)
Entschieden: 29.09.2026, 02:22
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 29.09.2026, 17:10 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Flight 120.3%
Flight 130.3%
Flight 1493.6%
Flight 153.9%
Other1.8%
Gewonnen
Verloren
Verloren
Verloren
Verloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many Successful Starship Splashdowns before successful Starship Catch?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Starship flight 15 happen?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
PolymarketSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich months of 2026 will there be a Starship–Superheavy launch?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the first Starship V3 flight that meets all of SpaceX's stated primary objectives.
- SpaceX is targeting the first quarter of 2026 for the debut flight of Starship V3, which will be the named outcome.
- Resolution will be based on SpaceX's official post-flight statements and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX_Starship.
- Nits Individual failures (e.g. engine failures, subsystem problems) that don't affect overall flight objectives will not cause a flight to resolve NO.
- For example, if this market was for block 1 flight 4 it would resolve YES even though the landing was off target.
