Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: No change (99%)
Entschieden: 30.04.2026, 00:07
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
No change
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
—
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNo change 99%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
26
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 88 Tagen
Veraltet11. Dez. 25, 9:0330. Apr. 26, 23:59
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
50+ bps decrease0.6%
25 bps decrease0.3%
No change99%
25+ bps increase2.8%
0.6%
99%
0.1%
0.3%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· No change
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt87% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 100% | — | 33,3 Mio. € | 15,1 Mio. € | vor 88 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| Manifold MarketsDiese Seite | — | 99% | — | — | — | vor 88 Tagen |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Fed decision in April?
0.1 ptsGeschlossen
Aufgelöst
No change (100%)
+0.2pt100%
0%
-0.1pt0%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen211,8 Mio. €
24h-Volumen33,3 Mio. €
POLYMARKETRegeln
This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the April 2026 FOMC meeting (April 28-29, 2026).
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the April 2026 meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Fed Decision in July?
3,7 Mio. €No change: 79%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike by which date?
46.935,3 €October Meeting: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike in 2026?
34.686,1 €Ja: 67%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?
87,8 €Ja: 15.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?
51,1 €0 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75): 34.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
43,9 €0 (0 bps): 82.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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US inflation falls to 3.5% as Bitcoin rebounds toward $65KCrypto NewsRegeln
This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the April 2026 FOMC meeting (April 28-29, 2026).
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the April 2026 meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm