PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No change (100%)
Nicht verifizierte Auflösungsdaten
Dieses Ergebnis ist abgeleitet oder nicht durch anbietergestützte Auflösungsnachweise gedeckt.
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNo change 100%+0.2ptFührend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
33,3 Mio. €
Liquidität
15,1 Mio. €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+0.6 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 88 Tagen
Veraltet13. Nov. 25, 0:4029. Apr. 26, 0:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
No change100%
50+ bps decrease0%
decrease0%
increase0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· No change
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 100% | — | 33,3 Mio. € | 15,1 Mio. € | vor 88 Tagen | |
 Manifold Markets87% Übereinstimmung · auto | — | 99% | — | — | — | vor 88 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Fed decision in April?
Geschlossen
Aufgelöst
No change (99%)
99%
0.6%
0.3%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose26 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Fed Decision in July?
3,3 Mio. €No change: 80%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
816.265 €Fed maintains rate: 80%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike in 2026?
62.120,6 €Ja: 67%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
49.280,5 €0 (0: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?
36.133,4 €Dissent: 28%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?
33.200,3 €Above 3.75%: 20%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Polymarket odds: Fed hold slips to 56.5% after softer CPI chatterBlockchain.NewsRegeln
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.