KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitVolatility 18%+3.0%Führend unter 43 Optionen
Marktqualitat
89 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
31.270,2 €
Liquidität
92.497,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
16.0% / 17.0%
Spread
6.3%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 27 Minuten
7. Juli 26, 22:3030. Juli 26, 14:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Volatility18%
Plattformen vergleichen· Balance Sheet
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Hoch | 83% | 0pt | 31.270,2 € | 92.497,4 € | vor 27 Minuten | |
 Polymarket88% Übereinstimmung · auto | Hoch | 85% | +2pt | 8565,9 € | 135.224 € | vor 7 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
2.0%3T
+0.5%85%
82%
78%
+30 weitere Ergebnisse
89 • Hohe QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen55.609,2 €
24h-Volumen8565,9 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Event does not qualify at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used.
- The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Please see full rules for more details.
- If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$35.6k8. Juli19T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
358.260,4 €Fed maintains rate: 78%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike in 2026?
51.167,8 €Ja: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
48.009 €0 (0: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
30.563 €Exactly 4 cuts: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?
26.114,8 €Above 4.00%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Ecusfed 26 SEP
22.761,2 €H 0: 42%ROTHERA
ROTHERAIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Event does not qualify at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used.
- The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Please see full rules for more details.
- If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.