Democrats win at least one of Ohio/Iowa/Alaska Senate seats?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahlUS-Zwischenwahlen 20262Mon
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 67.1%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
6. Jan. 26, 00:52 UTC1. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Senate Combo: Ohio, Iowa, Maine
PolymarketHow many House seats will Democrats win in Ohio?
Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?
PolymarketWill Democrats win Ohio and lose Iowa in the 2026 US senate elections?
Manifold MarketsHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
KalshiRegeln
Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.
- Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction.
- Original prediction: "Democrats win at least one of the Ohio/Iowa/Alaska Senate seats" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post.
- If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.