Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseAbove 56 14%+1.2ptFührend unter 14 Optionen
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+6.9 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet29. Okt. 26, 07:12 UTC1. Feb. 29, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Democratic Senate odds on November 2?
PolymarketWhich Democratic senate candidates will lead in the Nate Silver polling average on election day?
Manifold MarketsPennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)
KalshiDemocratic Senate odds on November 2?
Manifold Markets2028 New York Democratic Senate Nominee?
Manifold MarketsPennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdsenateseats/democratic-senate-seats/kxdsenateseats-29
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic party has exactly 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.