Aktuelle Community-Prognose
R President elected in 2024 89%
Prognostiker
28
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet10. Feb. 24, 00:46 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
89%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate?
Manifold MarketsIf Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate?
Manifold MarketsIF democrats win the house, will Hakeem Jeffries be their speaker?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republicans win the Senate and Democrats win the House in the 2026 election?
ForecastExWill the Democrats win the Senate, Democrats win the House, and Republicans win the Presidency in the 2028 election?
ForecastExDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegeln
If the opposite Party as the answer choice wins the Presidency, the answer choice resolves N/A. Otherwise it will resolve YES if Democrats win the House in 2026 and NO if they do not.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom16%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mrd. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 193,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt91%
- Republican Party-0.8pt9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 506.389,7 €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro+24.8pt58.8%
- Delcy Rodríguez-27.5pt40.2%
- No Head of State+0.3pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Third Term99%
+34 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 843.420,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 407.986,3 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.6pt9.2%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 14,8 Mio. €
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Conditional on which Party wins the Presidency in 2024, will Democrats win the House in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet R President elected in 2024 mit 89% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Conditional on which Party wins the Presidency in 2024, will Democrats win the House in 2026? entschieden?
- Conditional on which Party wins the Presidency in 2024, will Democrats win the House in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Conditional on which Party wins the Presidency in 2024, will Democrats win the House in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the opposite Party as the answer choice wins the Presidency, the answer choice resolves N/A. Otherwise it will resolve YES if Democrats win the House in 2026 and NO if they do not.