Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseSevere deflation: CPI falls by more than 10%/year 23.5%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
2
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet27. Juni 26, 02:51 UTC27. Juni 31, 02:46 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
Assume that by Dec. 31, 2035, an AI system exists that is generally considered superintelligent relative to humans across economically relevant cognitive tasks, and assume human civilization and US government statistics still exist.
- This market resolves based on the annualized change in US CPI-U All Items over the five calendar years after the first year in which ASI exists.
- For example, if ASI first exists in 2031, resolve using CPI from Jan. 2032 to Jan. 2037.
- Use BLS CPI-U All Items, or the closest successor series if CPI-U is discontinued.
