Alliance of Sahel States establish a federal state (country) during which years? (Niger, Burkina Faso, Mali)
Corporate ActionsOne-OffGeopolitik8JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseOther 33.6%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet12. Juni 26, 13:26 UTC3. Jan. 35, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Burkina Faso reinstate the death penalty by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran and the United States establish formal diplomatic relations before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsAssimi Goïta out as President of Mali by which date?
PolymarketWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PolymarketUS lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- (Noting UP top that though based on AI, this description has been vetted and edited by the market creator, that is me)(P.S. I will do a further edit for brevity, so if this is too much of a wall of text, make a note to come back to this later)
- This market will resolve to the time frame during which the member states of the Alliance of Sahel States (AES)—currently Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger—formally transition their regional bloc into a single sovereign federal state (federation) or "other".
- To resolve this market, the transition must meet the following criteria:
- Sovereignty Merger: The member nations must ratify a treaty or unified constitution that merges their individual national sovereignties into a single federal state under international law.
- I will however be lenient in how to interpret this.
Offene Märkte
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 85.328,8 €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 184.920,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Yes+43.3pt94%
- No-43.3pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 21.212,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 20.302,3 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.0pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Alliance of Sahel States establish a federal state (country) during which years? (Niger, Burkina Faso, Mali)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Other mit 34% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Alliance of Sahel States establish a federal state (country) during which years? (Niger, Burkina Faso, Mali) entschieden?
- Alliance of Sahel States establish a federal state (country) during which years? (Niger, Burkina Faso, Mali) soll am 3. Januar 2035 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Alliance of Sahel States establish a federal state (country) during which years? (Niger, Burkina Faso, Mali) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria