Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)
RegulierungOne-OffTrade Policy3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 78.8%
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet12. Jan. 26, 19:33 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Alcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt)
Manifold MarketsAlcoa Australia 2026 alumina production exceeds 6.0 Mt (6,000 kt)
Manifold MarketsWill Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsCopper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?
PolymarketWill Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Alcoa's aluminum segment production in 2026 exceeds 2.3 million metric tons (2,300 kt), as reported in the company's official full-year 2026 earnings release or SEC filings.
- The resolution will be based on actual production figures disclosed by Alcoa Corporation for the calendar year 2026.
- Resolution source: Alcoa Investor Relations or SEC EDGAR filings.
- Alcoa expects 2025 aluminum segment production of 2.3-2.5 million tonnes, with the lower bound at exactly 2.3 Mt. In Q3 2025, aluminum segment production increased 1% sequentially to 579,000 metric tons, driven by continued progress on the San Ciprián, Spain smelter restart.
- Aluminum production increased 5% annually in 2024 primarily due to the restart of capacity at the Warrick smelter and continued progress on the Alumar smelter restart.
Offene Märkte
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 182.343,6 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 79% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt) entschieden?
- Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt) soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria