Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 87.2%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
12. Nov. 23, 16:23 UTC1. Juli 36, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
A sitting supreme court justice becomes a parent while in office by mid 2036
Manifold MarketsSitting US president visits Cuban Government Leaders in Cuba before 2034
Manifold MarketsWill a sitting US president visit El Salvador through 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill a sitting US President refuse to follow or ignore a Supreme Court ruling by 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRegeln
i.e. by bearing or fathering a baby.
- It doesn't have to be their first baby, and it doesn't have to be a natural birth.
- It does however have to be their genetic child.
- Surrogates or similar technology who are not president are fine, as long as the baby who is born is the genetic descendant of the president.
- This claim is only concerned with biological parenthood, not adoption.
- The birth must happen while this person is in office.
