LimitlessVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätNicht aussagekräftig bepreist
Daten vom 08.09.2026, 22:57 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Sep 1, 2026 50%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
22 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
—
Liquidität unbekanntMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
26. Aug. 26, 17:13 UTC4. Nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Ruben Gallego to leave the US Senate by end of 2026.
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
Manifold MarketsRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegeln
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Outcome verified from Ruben Gallego, The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Fox News, Reuters, official government records and registries, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, CNN, the New York Times, and Politico.
