KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Nov 3, 2026 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Nov 3, 2026 1.5%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Before Nov 3, 2026 1.5%Marktqualitat
66 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1035,6 €
Open Interest
21.379,1 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Nov 3, 2026Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 42 Minuten
17. Apr. 26, 21:00 UTC3. Nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Before Sep 1, 2026Verloren
Before Oct 1, 2026Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Nov 3, 2026
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Ruben Gallego to leave the US Senate by end of 2026.
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman complete his term as Senator from Pennsylvania?
Manifold MarketsWho will control the House?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRegeln
If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Ruben GallegoThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersUnited States SenateCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Nov 3, 2026
- If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — Ruben Gallego out as Senator? · Before Oct 1, 2026 50%
