KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätNicht aussagekräftig bepreist
Daten vom 14.11.2026, 03:06 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
At least 5 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Preis
At least 5 95%Führend unter 8 Optionen
At least 5 95%Marktqualitat
29 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Open Interest
0 $
Open Interest unbekanntGeld / Brief
— / —
At least 5Spread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
12. Nov. 26, 17:15 UTC2. Dez. 26, 14:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · At least 5
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Regeln
If the number of days on which Donald Trump golfs is at least 9 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- How this is resolved Golf days from Nov 1 to Nov 30, 2026 count, including those before these markets opened. A day counts if Roll Call Factbase's presidential calendar feed (https://media-cdn.factba.se/rss/json/trump/calendar-full.json) shows its "golf" value as true. A day also counts if a White House pool report or a Getty Images, Reuters Connect or AP Photos image unambiguously shows Donald Trump playing golf that day. Markets may resolve as soon as the number of days that count reaches the strike. Otherwise they resolve at expiration, 10:00 AM ET two days after the month ends (Dec 2, 2026).
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- At least 5
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump golfs is at least 5 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 6
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump golfs is at least 6 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 7
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump golfs is at least 7 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 8
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump golfs is at least 8 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 9
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump golfs is at least 9 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 10
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump golfs is at least 10 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 11
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump golfs is at least 11 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 12
- If the number of days on which Donald Trump golfs is at least 12 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
