Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Olivia Chow 73.1%-4.0ptFührend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
53 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
4,4 €
Liquidität
5458,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
76.0% / 80.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Minuten
16. Dez. 25, 15:0026. Okt. 27, 14:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Olivia Chow76%
Plattformen vergleichen· Olivia Chow
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt85% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 78% | 0pt | 2,1 € | 103.006,5 € | vor 20 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese SeiteAktivste | Mittel | 76% | -2pt | 4,4 € | 5458,4 € | vor 20 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets88% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 68% | -10pt | — | — | vor 26 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will be elected mayor of Toronto in 2026?
3Mon
+0.8pt68.1%
-0.7pt27%
-0.1pt2.4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose18 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
3Mon
78%
19%
+0.1pt1%
+33 weitere Ergebnisse
63 • Mittlere QualitätEnger SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen98.278,6 €
24h-Volumen2,1 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Olivia Chow wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If John Tory wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Brad Bradford wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Furey wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$59. Juli16T Daten27. Juli
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If Olivia Chow wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If John Tory wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Brad Bradford wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Furey wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.