KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
People's Party · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
People's Party 42.5%Führend unter 4 Optionen
People's Party 42.5%Marktqualitat
48 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
272,7 €
Open Interest
16.209,9 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
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People's PartySpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 34 Minuten
15. Juli 25, 14:00 UTC22. Aug. 27, 14:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · People's Party
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many seats will Vox get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the People's Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsWill the next Spanish general election be held before 2027?
Manifold MarketsSpanish general election: 2nd place
KalshiSpanish general election: 3rd place
KalshiRegeln
If the winner of the next Spanish general election is People's Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Ministry of Interior
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. Clarification (10/06/26): For purposes of this Contract, seats won by the Socialists’ Party of Catalonia (PSC-PSOE) count toward the Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE).
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- People's Party
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is People's Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Spanish Socialist Workers' Party
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vox
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is Vox, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sumar
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is Sumar, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die plattformübergreifende Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für People's Party liegt bei 73%. Die Spanne zwischen den Plattformen beträgt rund 31 Prozentpunkte.
CoinRithm-Referenz People's Party 73% · 2 Plattformen · 31 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — Spanish general election winner? · People's Party 42%
