KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
PSOE · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
PSOE 83.5%Führend unter 3 Optionen
PSOE 83.5%Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
140,4 €
Open Interest
811,8 €
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
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PSOESpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
5. Okt. 26, 21:00 UTC29. Nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · PSOE
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent
KalshiSpanish general election: 3rd place
KalshiSpanish general election: margin of victory
KalshiSpanish general election: PSOE vote percent
KalshiNew Zealand Election 2nd Place (Polymarket)
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Spanish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Junta Electoral Central
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. The party awarded the 2nd-highest number of Congress of Deputies seats in the Junta Electoral Central's final, certified general scrutiny (escrutinio general) resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO Rank is NOT determined by national vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs Resolution follows the final certified result, not the provisional count published on election night Only the election to the Congress of Deputies counts. Senate seats do NOT count Seats won by a party's regional federation or joint list that runs under its name count toward that party (for example, seats won by the Socialists' Party of Catalonia, PSC-PSOE, count toward the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party) If a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on seats awarded.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- PSOE
- If the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Spanish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- People's Party
- If the People's Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Spanish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vox
- If Vox finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Spanish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
