Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
People's Party 44%Führend unter 4 Optionen
People's Party 44%Marktqualitat
22 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
5. Okt. 26, 12:58 UTC21. Aug. 28, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Regeln
the named outcome · the named outcome · Sumar · Vox.
Additional context — Updated October 14, 2026
Seats won by the Socialists’ Party of Catalonia (PSC-PSOE) count toward the Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE).
If the winner of the next Spanish general election is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
Outcome verified from Ministry of Interior.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die plattformübergreifende Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für People's Party liegt bei 79%. Die Spanne zwischen den Plattformen beträgt rund 35 Prozentpunkte.
CoinRithm-Referenz People's Party 79% · 2 Plattformen · 35 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — Spanish general election winner? · People's Party 66%
