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John Thune · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
John Thune 85%Führend unter 7 Optionen
John Thune 85%Marktqualitat
33 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0,9 €
Open Interest
1569 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
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John ThuneSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 25 Minuten
9. Okt. 26, 02:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · John Thune
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader?
Kalshi120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?
KalshiWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader?
KalshiWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If John Thune has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. Senate Republican leader means the top post the Senate Republican Conference elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: Majority Leader if Republicans win the Senate majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. Running only for a lower post, such as whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- John Thune
- If John Thune has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- John Barrasso
- If John Barrasso has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Rick Scott
- If Rick Scott has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mike Lee
- If Mike Lee has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ron Johnson
- If Ron Johnson has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Josh Hawley
- If Josh Hawley has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tom Cotton
- If Tom Cotton has announced that they will run for Senate Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
