KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore Jan 1, 2027 51%+1.0%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
63,5 €
Liquidität
2591,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
46.0% / 51.0%
Spread
10.9%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
26. Dez. 25, 15:001. Jan. 27, 15:00
Trends
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before Jan 1, 202751%
Volumentrend
$722. Juli21T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
122.595,1 €United Russia (ER): 56%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
13.899,9 €Yulia Navalnaya: 11%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
853,4 €Ja: 74%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Russia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?
263,7 €Ja: 3.4%
MYRIAD
MYRIAD
First overseas visit of the next UK PM?
215,8 €USA 🇺🇸: 5.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSRussia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?
183,2 €Ja: 4.7%MYRIAD
MYRIADIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The legislation must establish new material restrictive measures explicitly targeting the Russian Federation by mandating or authorizing: (i) new primary sanctions against Russia or key economic sectors (ii) new secondary sanctions on foreign third parties facilitating Russian trade or evasion (iii) the seizure and transfer of blocked or immobilized Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine; and/or (iv) the designation of Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism that triggers automatic sanctions.
- Routine re-authorizations or technical modifications of existing programs—such as those sometimes included in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) or appropriations bills—are excluded.
- If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.