KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jul 1, 2028 34%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
23 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1,7 €
Liquidität
274,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
22. Juli 26, 19:39 UTC1. Okt. 26, 14:00 UTC
Trends
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by Sept. 30?
PredictItWill the Anaheim Angels naming bill become law?
KalshiWill the House pass another reconciliation bill by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
KalshiWill the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by which date?
PolymarketWill an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?
KalshiRegeln
If a reconciliation bill has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 695.731,8 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 294.676,9 €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 291.319,2 €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will a reconciliation bill become law??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Jul 1, 2028 mit 34% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will a reconciliation bill become law? entschieden?
- When will a reconciliation bill become law? soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will a reconciliation bill become law? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If a reconciliation bill has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.