KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: 28 or more (85%)
Entschieden: 19.10.2026, 21:20
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 19.10.2026, 20:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
28 or more85%
29 or more71%
30 or more70%
31 or more0%
32 or more53%
33 or more0%
34 or more98%
35 or more98%
36 or more98%
37 or more98%
34 or moreVerloren
35 or moreVerloren
36 or moreVerloren
37 or moreVerloren
28 or moreGewonnen
29 or moreVerloren
30 or moreVerloren
32 or moreVerloren
31 or moreVerloren
33 or moreVerloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats?
KalshiBritish Columbia election: NDP number of seats?
KalshiVictorian State Election 2026: Number of Seats won by One Nation
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the four largest parties at the next UK general election in order (by number of seats)?
Manifold MarketsWill the number of seats on the Supreme Court be increased from 9 between now and 2030?
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiRegeln
If the Quebec Liberal Party has won at least 28 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Elections Quebec
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either (a) the time for filing legal challenges has expired without challenge, (b) any legal challenges have been finally resolved, or (c) the elected member has taken their seat in the parliament/legislature. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of any subsequent changes in affiliation. The count will be determined when the new legislature takes their seat, even if vacant seats remain or some results are continuing to be challenged. If the election is postponed, the market will remain open and resolve based on the rescheduled election, unless the postponement extends beyond one year from the originally scheduled date, in which case the market will resolve to the last fair market price. If the election is cancelled entirely (that is, it is not Fully Conducted as defined in the Contract), the market will resolve to the last fair market price. If only partial elections are held, only seats actually contested and filled will be counted. By-elections occurring after the main election will be included in the count only if they are sat at the same time as the rest of the legislature.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- 34 or more
- If the Quebec Liberal Party has won at least 34 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 35 or more
- If the Quebec Liberal Party has won at least 35 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 36 or more
- If the Quebec Liberal Party has won at least 36 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 37 or more
- If the Quebec Liberal Party has won at least 37 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 28 or more
- If the Quebec Liberal Party has won at least 28 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 29 or more
- If the Quebec Liberal Party has won at least 29 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 30 or more
- If the Quebec Liberal Party has won at least 30 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 32 or more
- If the Quebec Liberal Party has won at least 32 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 31 or more
- If the Quebec Liberal Party has won at least 31 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 33 or more
- If the Quebec Liberal Party has won at least 33 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
